* Obama won in New Hampshire!

2008-01-12

Richard Moore

"... it is a fact that the specific models of Diebold op-scan and central 
tabulators currently in use to count votes in New Hampshire have been proven, by
multiple public demonstrations, to be wide-open to insider manipulation through 
a variety of mechanisms. Some exploits involve computer programs, and others, 
simple proximity to the central tabulator or precinct scanner."

Original source URL:
http://www.opednews.com/articles/opedne_bruce_o__080110_obama_clinton_3a_remar.htm

OpEdNews
Original Content at
January 10, 2008
Obama-Clinton: remarkable opscan v. handcount results
By Bruce O'Dell

Analysts at the Election Defense Alliance (EDA) have confirmed that based on the
official results on the New Hampshire Secretary of state web site, there is a 
remarkable relationship between Obama and Clinton votes, when you look at votes 
tabulated by op-scan v. votes tabulated by hand:

Clinton Optical scan 91,717 52.95%
Obama Optical scan 81,495 47.05%

Clinton Hand-counted 20,889 47.05%
Obama Hand-counted 23,509 52.95%

The percentages appear to be swapped. That seems highly unusual, to say the 
least.

EDA and others are proceeding with intra and inter-county results and 
demographic analysis to better understand what this extremely unusual 
"coincidence" may indicate. The work to understand what really happened in New 
Hampshire is far from complete.

In the meantime, what are we to make of all this?

On the one hand, everyone has heard of the unanimous verdict of both private and
public opinion polls leading up to the New Hampshire primary, showing Obama with
about a 10% lead. And a report on Brad Blog today quotes Chris Matthews on 
"Hardball" who saw a comparable lead for Obama - about 8% - in the media's 
"unadjusted" New Hampshire exit poll.

On the other hand, it is a fact that the specific models of Diebold op-scan and 
central tabulators currently in use to count votes in New Hampshire have been 
proven, by multiple public demonstrations, to be wide-open to insider 
manipulation through a variety of mechanisms. Some exploits involve computer 
programs, and others, simple proximity to the central tabulator or precinct 
scanner.

So there is an undeniable possibility that the optical scan vote in New 
Hampshire could have been manipulated by insiders at the outsourced companies 
that run the election there, or by anyone with hand-on access to the voting and 
tabulating machines.

One recourse might be to recount the paper ballots by hand, but as we saw in 
Ohio in 2004, in the absence of a secure chain of custody the accuracy of any 
after-the fact recount of optical scan and hand-count ballots remains 
problematic - and the clock is ticking.

I've met some of the people who run elections in New Hampshire and I know that 
they are proud of their state's historic committment to fair elections. When I 
testified there last year to their State House Subcommitee on Voting Equipment, 
I advocated New Hampshire adopt the Universal Ballot Sampling hand-count audit 
protocol, a statistically-robust way of checking the accuracy of optical scan 
voting and central tabulation systems. If only the state had chosen to implement
that simple and universal hand-count audit protocol for the 2008 primary, these 
lingering questions about the accuracy of the official count could be have been 
examined independently.

New Hampshire, and most other states still - unbelievably - run their elections 
with equipment and procedures so open to insider manipulation that they would 
lead to serious civil or criminal liability if comparable systems were allowed 
to run, in any bank in America.

If we can't simply return to the best system of voting, hand-counted paper 
ballots, why can't we at least put in place the capability for an independent 
citizen-run verification of the accuracy of our computerized voting equipment on
election night?

If you have faith that the Diebold equipment is accurate, you are left only with
the supposition that many voters in New Hampshire lie to exit pollsters or are 
secret racists - and the ones who do so also vote on optical scan equipment.

I think New Hampshire is a better state, and we're a better nation than that; 
and I'd like to know why the people who run our elections think it's acceptable 
that I can't prove it.

Authors Bio: Bruce O'Dell is a self-employed information technology consultant 
with more than twenty five years experience who applies his broad technical 
expertise to his work as an election integrity activist. His current consulting 
practice centers on e-Commerce security and the performance and design of very 
large-scale computer systems for Fortune 100 clients. He recently spent a year 
as the chief technical architect in a company-wide security project at one of 
the top twenty public companies in America, led a multiple client projects for 
compliance with new credit card data security standards, and has designed secure
"virtual cash" e-commerce protocols. In 2007 he was invited to testify on 
computer voting security issues to the Texas and New Hampshire legislatures. He 
lives just outside Minneapolis, Minnesota, and shares a love of good books with 
his wife - and her beautiful garden, with their talkative cat.

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