Iran attack: The Pieces Are Being Put in Place


Richard Moore

Original source URL:

Escalation Against Iran
The Pieces Are Being Put in Place
The pieces are moving.  They¹ll be in place by the end of

February. The United States will be able to escalate military operations against

The second carrier strike group leaves the U.S. west coast on January 16.  It 
will be joined by naval mine clearing assets from both the United States and the
UK.  Patriot missile defense systems have also been ordered to deploy to the 

Maybe as a guard against North Korea seeing operations focused on Iran as a 
chance to be aggressive, a squadron of F-117 stealth fighters has just been 
deployed to Korea.

This has to be called escalation.  We have to remind ourselves, just as Iran is 
supporting groups inside Iraq, the United States is supporting groups inside 
Iran.  Just as Iran has special operations troops operating inside Iraq, we¹ve 
read the United States has special operations troops operating inside Iran.

Just as Iran is supporting Hamas, two weeks ago we found out the United States 
is supporting arms for Abbas.  Just as Iran and Syria are supporting Hezbollah 
in Lebanon we¹re now learning the White House has approved a finding to allow 
the CIA to support opposition groups inside Lebanon.  Just as Iran is supporting
Syria, we¹ve learned recently that the United States is going to fund Syrian 
opposition groups.

We learned this week the President authorized an attack on the Iranian liaison 
office in Irbil.

The White House keeps saying there are no plans to attack Iran. Obviously, the 
facts suggest otherwise.  Equally as clear, the Iranians will read what the 
Administrations is doing not what it is


It is possible the White House strategy is just implementing a strategy to put 
pressure on Iran on a number of fronts, and this will never amount to anything.
On the other hand, if the White House is on a path to strike Iran, we¹ll see a 
few more steps unfold.

First, we know there is a National Security Council staff-led

group whose mission is to create outrage in the world against Iran. Just like 
before Gulf II, this media group will begin to release stories to sell a strike 
against Iran.  Watch for the outrage stuff. The Patriot missiles going to the 
GCC states are only part of the missile defense assets.  I would expect to see 
the deployment of some of the European-based missile defense assets to Israel, 
just as they were before Gulf II.

I would expect deployment of additional USAF fighters into the bases in Iraq, 
maybe some into Afghanistan.

I think we will read about the deployment of some of the newly arriving Army 
brigades going into Iraq being deployed to the border with Iran.  Their mission 
will be to guard against any Iranian movements into Iraq.

As one of the last steps before a strike, we¹ll see USAF tankers moved to 
unusual places, like Bulgaria.  These will be used to refuel the US-based B-2 
bombers on their strike missions into Iran.  When that happens, we¹ll only be 
days away from a strike.

The White House could be telling the truth.  Maybe there are no plans to take 
Iran to the next level. The fuel for a fire is in place, however.  All we need 
is a spark.  The danger is that we have created conditions that could lead to a 
Greater Middle East War.

Sam Gardiner  is a retired colonel of the US Air Force.  He has taught strategy 
and military operations at the National War College, Air War College and Naval 
War College.

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