And what do we do if just the opposite happens - a strike on
Iran unifies Iranians behind the regime? An Administration
official told me it's not even a consideration. "IRGC IED's
are a casus belli for this Administration. There will be an
attack on Iran."
This WILL be a nuclear attack. It WILL be proceeded by another inside
job similar to 9/11. It WILL send some of our aircraft carriers to
the bottom of the sea. It WILL halt all oil shipping in the gulf. It
WILL be followed by some kind of martial law regime under FEMA and
Homeland Security. It MAY lead to economic chaos in the USA. It MAY
lead to unexpected escalation, perhaps due to rogue Israeli
adventurism, and perhaps involving Russia.
I'd say get your money out of banks and into cash. Stay away from
large public concentrations and famous places / targets. Say goodbye
the world you've known. It'll be the Katrina-treatment for all of us.
Didn't you realize that Katrina was a successful test run of how
'emergencies' will be responded to? (See:
http://www.youtube.com/GregPalastOffice)
Incidentally, he also is convinced the IRGC is helping Iraqi
Shi'a militias sight in their mortars on the Green Zone.
"The way they're dropping them in, in neat grids, tells me
all I need to know that the Shi'a are getting help. And
there's no doubt it's Iranian, the IRGC's," he said.
Wow! They can't even protect a perimeter around the Green Zone! How
embarrassing. No wonder they're looking for someone to blame.
rkm
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Original source URL:
http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0%2C8599%2C1654188%2C00.html
Saturday, Aug. 18, 2007
Prelude to an Attack on Iran
By Robert Baer
Reports that the Bush Administration will put Iran's Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps on the terrorism list can be read in one of
two ways: it's either more bluster or, ominously, a wind-up for a
strike on Iran. Officials I talk to in Washington vote for a hit on
the IRGC, maybe within the next six months. And they think that as
long as we have bombers and missiles in the air, we will hit Iran's
nuclear facilities. An awe and shock campaign, lite, if you will. But
frankly they're guessing; after Iraq the White House trusts no one,
especially the bureaucracy.
As with Saddam and his imagined WMD, the Administration's case
against the IRGC is circumstantial. The U.S. military suspects but
cannot prove that the IRGC is the main supplier of sophisticated
improvised explosive devices to insurgents killing our forces in Iraq
and Afghanistan. The most sophisticated version, explosive formed
projectiles or shape charges, are capable of penetrating the armor of
an Abrams tank, disabling the tank and killing the crew.
A former CIA explosives expert who still works in Iraq told me: "The
Iranians are making them. End of story." His argument is only a state
is capable of manufacturing the EFP's, which involves a complicated
annealing process. Incidentally, he also is convinced the IRGC is
helping Iraqi Shi'a militias sight in their mortars on the Green
Zone. "The way they're dropping them in, in neat grids, tells me all
I need to know that the Shi'a are getting help. And there's no doubt
it's Iranian, the IRGC's," he said.
A second part of the Administration's case against the IRGC is that
the IRGC has had a long, established history of killing Americans,
starting with the attack on the Marines in Beirut in 1983. And that's
not to mention it was the IRGC that backed Hizballah in its
thirty-four day war against Israel last year. The feeling in the
Administration is that we should have taken care of the IRGC a long,
long time ago.
Strengthening the Administration's case for a strike on Iran, there's
a belief among neo-cons that the IRGC is the one obstacle to a
democratic and friendly Iran. They believe that if we were to get rid
of the IRGC, the clerics would fall, and our thirty-years war with
Iran over. It's another neo-con delusion, but still it informs White
House thinking.
And what do we do if just the opposite happens - a strike on Iran
unifies Iranians behind the regime? An Administration official told
me it's not even a consideration. "IRGC IED's are a casus belli for
this Administration. There will be an attack on Iran."
- Robert Baer, a former CIA field officer assigned to the Middle
East, is TIME.com's intelligence columnist and the author of See No
Evil and, most recently, the novel Blow the House Down
Copyright 2007 Time Inc. All rights reserved.
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Original source URL:
http://messages.yahoo.com/Government_%26_Politics/threadview?m=tm&bn=7701295%23fuce66&tid=52195&mid=52195&tof=32&rt=2&frt=2&off=1
ADMINISTRATION SOURCE CONFIRMS THEIR DETERMINATION TO ATTACK ON IRAN
If you thought the Cheney White House could not be so crazy as to
attack Iran given the existing debacle in Iraq, we have news for you.
They ARE that crazy. As reported by Time magazine on line yesterday,
an administration official declared unilaterally "There will be an
attack on Iran", based on the totally bogus assertion that they are
the source for the IEDs being used in Iraq. And the only way to stop
the insanity is to impeach the Vice President immediately.
ACTION PAGE ON CHENEY IMPEACHMENT: http://www.usalone.com/cheney_impeachmen...
Never mind that all anyone has to do is Google the words "missing
explosives iraq" and in seconds you will find all the links to how
340 bulk tons of the most powerful military explosives just walked
away from the Al Qa'qaa storage depot and others, which HAD been
under U.N. seal, until they were left entirely unguarded for a month
and a half while the U.S. military was only interested in protecting
the oil ministry.
Never mind that all one of the strategic Keystone Cops in the Vice
President's office would have to do is Google the words "ieds copper
discs" and in seconds they too would find all the links to how local
machine shops in Iraq were cranking out the parts needed to make all
those IEDS as a cottage industry, given that they now have enough
stolen high explosives stockpiled for a 200 year insurgency at
current rates of attacks.
And yet still the push is from Cheney's office to tell even bigger
lies about Iran than he ever told about Iraq, and to escalate yet
another fraudulent casus belli into world war with a billion Muslims,
99.999 percent of whom would have rather just be left alone in peace
had we not gone out of our way to bomb their cities.
--
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