Brzezinski bombshell: Bush seeking pretext to attack Iran


Richard Moore

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A political bombshell from Zbigniew Brzezinski

Ex-national security adviser warns that Bush is seeking a pretext to attack Iran

By Barry Grey in Washington DC
2 February 2007

Testifying before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Thursday, Zbigniew 
Brzezinski, the national security adviser in the Carter administration, 
delivered a scathing critique of the war in Iraq and warned that the Bush 
administration¹s policy was leading inevitably to a war with Iran, with 
incalculable consequences for US imperialism in the Middle East and 

Brzezinski, who opposed the March 2003 invasion and has publicly denounced the 
war as a colossal foreign policy blunder, began his remarks on what he called 
the ³war of choice² in Iraq by characterizing it as ³a historic, strategic and 
moral calamity.²

³Undertaken under false assumptions,² he continued, ³it is undermining America¹s
global legitimacy. Its collateral civilian casualties as well as some abuses are
tarnishing America¹s moral credentials. Driven by Manichean principles and 
imperial hubris, it is intensifying regional instability.²

Brzezinski derided Bush¹s talk of a ³decisive ideological struggle² against 
radical Islam as ³simplistic and demagogic,² and called it a ³mythical 
historical narrative² employed to justify a ³protracted and potentially 
expanding war.²

³To argue that America is already at war in the region with a wider Islamic 
threat, of which Iran is the epicenter, is to promote a self-fulfilling 
prophecy,² he said.

Most stunning and disturbing was his description of a ³plausible scenario for a 
military collision with Iran.² It would, he suggested, involve ³Iraqi failure to
meet the benchmarks, followed by accusations of Iranian responsibility for the 
failure, then by some provocation in Iraq or a terrorist act in the US blamed on
Iran, culminating in a Œdefensive¹ US military action against Iran that plunges 
a lonely America into a spreading and deepening quagmire eventually ranging 
across Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan.² [Emphasis added].

This was an unmistakable warning to the US Congress, replete with quotation 
marks to discount the ³defensive² nature of such military action, that the Bush 
administration is seeking a pretext for an attack on Iran. Although he did not 
explicitly say so, Brzezinski came close to suggesting that the White House was 
capable of manufacturing a provocation‹including a possible terrorist attack 
within the US‹to provide the casus belli for war.

That a man such as Brzezinski, with decades of experience in the top echelons of
the US foreign policy establishment, a man who has the closest links to the 
military and to intelligence agencies, should issue such a warning at an open 
hearing of the US Senate has immense and grave significance.

Brzezinski knows whereof he speaks, having authored provocations of his own 
while serving as Jimmy Carter¹s national security adviser. In that capacity, as 
he has since acknowledged in published writings, he drew up the covert plan at 
the end of the 1970s to mobilize Islamic fundamentalist mujaheddin to topple the
pro-Soviet regime in Afghanistan and draw the Soviet Union into a ruinous war in
that country.

Following his opening remarks, in response to questions from the senators, 
Brzezinski reiterated his warning of a provocation.

He called the senators¹ attention to a March 27, 2006 report in the New York 
Times on ³a private meeting between the president and Prime Minister Blair, two 
months before the war, based on a memorandum prepared by the British official 
present at this meeting.² In the article, Brzezinski said, ³the president is 
cited as saying he is concerned that there may not be weapons of mass 
destruction found in Iraq, and that there must be some consideration given to 
finding a different basis for undertaking the action.²

He continued: ³I¹ll just read you what this memo allegedly says, according to 
the New York Times: ŒThe memo states that the president and the prime minister 
acknowledged that no unconventional weapons had been found inside Iraq. Faced 
with the possibility of not finding any before the planned invasion, Mr. Bush 
talked about several ways to provoke a confrontation.¹

³He described the several ways in which this could be done. I won¹t go into 
that... the ways were quite sensational, at least one of them.

³If one is of the view that one is dealing with an implacable enemy that has to 
be removed, that course of action may under certain circumstances be appealing. 
I¹m afraid that if this situation in Iraq continues to deteriorate, and if Iran 
is perceived as in some fashion involved or responsible, or a potential 
beneficiary, that temptation could arise.²

At another point Brzezinski remarked on the conspiratorial methods of the Bush 
administration and all but described it as a cabal. ³I am perplexed,² he said, 
³by the fact that major strategic decisions seem to be made within a very narrow
circle of individuals‹just a few, probably a handful, perhaps not more than the 
fingers on my hand. And these are the individuals, all of whom but one, who made
the original decision to go to war, and used the original justifications to go 
to war.²

None of the senators in attendance addressed themselves to the stark warning 
from Brzezinski. The Democrats in particular, flaccid, complacent and complicit 
in the war conspiracies of the Bush administration, said nothing about the 
danger of a provocation spelled out by the witness.

Following the hearing, this reporter asked Brzezinski directly if he was 
suggesting that the source of a possible provocation might be the US government 
itself. The former national security adviser was evasive.

The following exchange took place:

Q: Dr. Brzezinski, who do you think would be carrying out this possible 

A: I have no idea. As I said, these things can never be predicted. It can be 

Q: Are you suggesting there is a possibility it could originate within the US 
government itself?

A: I¹m saying the whole situation can get out of hand and all sorts of 
calculations can produce a circumstance that would be very difficult to trace.

See Also [links in original]:
Steny Hoyer at the Brookings Institution
House majority leader lays out Democratic position on Iraq
[1 February 2007]
Stepped up US preparations for war against Iran
[1 February 2007]
Iraq¹s colonial occupier, the US, denounces ³foreign meddling²
[30 January 2007]
Bush authorizes shoot-to-kill policy against Iranians in Iraq
[29 January 2007]

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