============================================================================ SUSTAINABILITY & DEVELOPMENT (c) Richard K. Moore, 2002, All Rights Reserved To be published in the "Pacific Ecologist" (New Zealand) "If the world is saved, it will be saved by people with changed minds, people with a new vision. It will not be saved by people with the old vision but new programs." - Daniel Quinn, The Story of B Aboriginal sustainability ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Let us begin with a glimpse at humanity's economic past, 99.9% of which was characterized by sustainability. Hunter-gatherer tribes, before the relatively recent advent of systematic agriculture, could typically persist indefinitely. The main threat to their persistence would be a change in the environment, such as a radical climate shift or a natural disaster. These tribes were not only sustainable; they were also locally self-sufficient. Their trade, if any, was at the level of ornaments and did not involve the essentials of survival. Furthermore, they found ways to keep their populations stable. Whether through contraceptive methods, or infanticide, they managed to keep their numbers from exceeding the carrying capacity of their territories. What were the characteristics of these tribes that enabled them to persist in this way? Perhaps the most obvious was their day-to-day economic practices. What they consumed was readily available in their environment, and was readily replenished. What they produced--the overall consequences of their life-style--was not destructive to the environment. Underlying this practical sustainability was a conscious understanding and respect for the local ecosystem. The tribes were intimately familiar with the life cycles of the plants and animals around them. They understood that an ecosystem operates on cycles, and they understood their own place within those cycles. They saw themselves as part of the natural cycles, not as in command of them. Aboriginal cultural stability ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ The economic practices of these tribes were integrated into a matrix of tribal behavior. Taboos and imperatives about which plants and animals to harvest, and when, existed alongside taboos and imperatives about child-raising practices and other social matters. This whole matrix of activity--the tribal culture--was stable over time. Economic and environmental sustainability existed within this overall matrix of cultural stability. Let's look at this from a systems point of view. The surrounding environment, the interactions of the tribe with that environment, and the internal operations of the tribe--all of these together form a system. The whole system must be stable if our tribe is to persist in its accustomed condition. An adverse shift in environmental conditions, a destructive increase in hunting and gathering, a substantial increase in population, a deterioration in the social fabric of the tribe--any of these part instabilities would be likely to destabilize the system's overall operation. The tribe would be forced, sooner or later, to seek some new formula for survival--or it would perish. Stability came naturally to aboriginal tribes. Technological innovations were extremely rare, and each generation followed more or less the same patterns of activity as its predecessors. In some sense this primordial stability was very robust. Honed over time, the traditional cultures tended to function very effectively, and were able to cope with hostile tribes and with moderate fluctuations in environmental conditions. But in another sense the stability was extremely fragile. It was largely dependent on the absence of perceived alternatives or disruptive influences. When European traders began to interact with North American tribes, for example, many of those tribes rapidly abandoned their traditional ways. Suddenly their sole occupation was collecting beaver pelts, or whatever else it was the traders were seeking. Such perturbations in the economic activities of the tribes led to fundamental changes throughout their cultures. Some tribes actually changed in a single generation from patriarchies to matriarchies (or visa versa) in response to the altered economic requirements. Aboriginal cultural coherence ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ I use the term coherence by analogy with how the term is used in relation to personal behavior. If we describe someone as incoherent, then we imply that they are talking nonsense or acting nonsensically. If we say they are coherent, then we imply that their words and actions make sense, particularly in terms of their own perceived self-interest. By analogy, I characterize a coherent society as one that--as a whole--interacts sensibly with its environment and with other societies. It has the ability to respond sensibly as a society to changing circumstances or to emergency events. Its ongoing activities make sense, particularly in terms of its own perceived self-interest. Aboriginal tribes exhibited coherence, and this coherence contributed substantially to their ongoing sustainability over time. If climate changes forced a migration, the tribe had means of reaching a collective decision about how to proceed. This might lead to a partition of the tribe, but each new smaller tribe would be likely to maintain its coherence in what followed. Emergencies of various kinds must have occurred from time to time in the history of every tribe... earthquakes, droughts, diseases in staple food populations, etc. We can see an example of how some tribes were able to respond to emergencies by looking again at the North American experience. Confronted with European encroachment on their traditional territories, tribes tended to respond coherently. They would hold tribal councils, using some kind of long-evolved consensus process. They would discuss the pros and cons of resistance vs. cooperation, and of possible alliances with other tribes, and all viewpoints would be listened to. When a decision was reached, all would support it, thus maintaining tribal coherence. Tribes which were related, but which were not of the same economic unit, were able to achieve coherence spanning a larger societal unit -- a nation of tribes. After reaching local consensus, each tribe would send a delegation to a council of the nation. Again a consensus, listening-oriented process would be observed. And again, coherence would be achieved through mutual support of the decision outcome. Some non-lessons for today ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ We must exercise caution in any attempt to take lessons from our aboriginal experiences. Indeed, we cannot presume that there are any non-trivial lessons that apply to today's circumstances. The most we can do is to use these experiences to suggest hypotheses. The hypotheses can then be validated, or invalidated, by reference to our current context. Let us first look at some lessons which cannot be learned. For example, we cannot conclude that sustainability must necessarily be linked to hunter gathering. There are methods of agriculture which can produce much more food per unit of labor (or of territory) than hunter-gathering--and which are environmentally sustainable as well. Such agricultural methods would need to be employed if sustainability is to be achieved with today's high population levels. Nor can we conclude that sustainability must be linked to local self-sufficiency. Some localities might prefer to be self-sufficient, and may be able to achieve that. Fair play to them. But there is no inherent reason why the benefits of specialization and trade cannot be enjoyed elsewhere. Indeed, the higher productivity enabled by specialization would be required to meet the needs of today's population levels. There is a caution however: every specialist producer needs to be sustainable. If any traders over-exploit their territories, then the sustainability of the overall trading community would not be sustainable in the long run--and the long run is precisely the timeframe in which sustainability matters. Another lesson we cannot learn is that sustainability must be linked to a static technology base. Radio communication, personal computers, high-tech wind generators, and solar cells--these are a few examples of what are fashionably called appropriate technologies. Such technologies and others yet to be invented or deployed, can be of considerable benefit in achieving sustainability and in enhancing the quality of life. And here there is another caution: the production chain of these technologies--including the R&D and distribution activities--must be sustainable. As we've noted previously, local non-sustainability anywhere in the larger system denies the sustainability of the whole and of every part. Another non-lesson is the strict attachment to place. Understanding and respect for local ecosystems is a requirement of sustainability, but stationary populations are not. Holiday touring, relocating residence to other communities, and travelling-oriented livelihoods--all these can exist within a sustainable system. The familiar proviso is that each of these activities be carried out in a sustainable way. On a given day an individual traveler is likely to create a personal energy deficit, but that is acceptable as long as the society's overall pattern of energy usage for transportation is sustainable. Sustainability today: lessons from our past ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ There are three non-trivial principles, all evident in the aboriginal scenario, which I suggest are inherently mandatory if a society, or system of societies, is to be sustainable. Those principles are * a cultural understanding that society is part of an ecosystem * cultural stability * cultural coherence. If a society understands that it is part of a larger ecosystem, then it will respect that ecosystem out of its own perceived self-interest. If a society merely believes that "the environment--that thing out there--should be protected", then protection measures are likely to be deferred in favor of needs which are perceived as being "more critical" or "more immediate" than the needs of the environment. If the environment is part of the other, not part of us, then its needs are subject to prioritization within our value system. I suggest that sustainability cannot be assured in such a cultural framework. Any society that does not understand that it is part of the world around it is not a sane society. It is failing to perceive the blatantly obvious, and on a matter of life-and-death importance. Operating with such a blind spot, such a relevant reality disconnect, the society would be unlikely to reliably pursue sustainable practices. I believe that empirical observation of the present and of recent history is consistent with these more theoretical observations. Our second principle, cultural stability, leads us back again to a systems perspective. If a culture is not stable, then how can it be expected to be reliable in relation to sustainable practices? Ultimately an unstable society must eventually reach some kind of equilibrium, voluntarily or otherwise. But until then any apparent sustainability cannot be trusted. Instability is anathema to sustainability. If the foundation is unsound, the house will not last. Soundness of the house itself can be of only ephemeral value. Cultural stability is a required foundation for any society that intends to operate reliably in a sustainable way. Let us now consider cultural coherence. Note that a coherent society is not necessarily sustainable. Our current global society, for example, acts overall in a very coherent way. If you accept the value system that says, "the world is there to be exploited", and "never worry about tomorrow or the consequences", then our global society is behaving with immanent coherence. Nearly all human activity today is aligned effectively in intelligent pursuit of the goal of maximal exploitation. Such single-focus coherence has never before been achieved in human history. But if coherence is combined with stability and with proper understanding (being part of the world), then we have a society that--as a society--intelligently interacts with the world around it in a reliably sustainable way. I suggest that no part of this formula is optional. Understanding, stability, and coherence, I suggest, are three essential pillars of any sustainable society. Obstacles to achieving sustainability ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ If our observations have been accurate so far, then we can say that the achievement of sustainability today can only happen if we somehow achieve appropriate understanding, stability, and coherence--as societies. Other things would also need to be achieved, such as stable (or declining) population levels. I suggest however that our three principles are the primary enabling elements from the perspective of system dynamics. Let's consider where our modern societies stand in regard to these requirements, and let us consider the obstacles that must be overcome if our three requirements are to me achieved. Cultural stability, to the extent it existed previously, has been the first thing to be sacrificed over the past two centuries--under the relentless erosive forces of industrialization and imperialism, guided by the ideology of capitalism. Industrialization brought such fundamental changes so rapidly that it fostered a cultural mentality favorable to change and "progress". Capitalism was a natural ideology to dominate such a culture, and to lead it in a positive feedback loop toward ever-accelerating cultural change. Even the primary reaction to capitalism--Soviet style socialism--was a form of destabilization attributable to the influence of capitalism. As observed earlier, our modern societies do exhibit admirable coherence--but in pursuit of totally unsustainable objectives, and guided by an inverted understanding of humanity's place in the world. One place where this inverted understanding is most clearly expressed is in the financial pages of our newspapers. 'Market forces' are accepted there as a clear law of nature, or perhaps a divine dictum: "Thou shalt not deny market forces nor covet thy neighbor's dollar." Other aspects of society are praised or condemned by how they conform to or depart from the demands of market forces. An equivalent term, also frequently used, is 'investor confidence'. The two phrases amount to the same thing. Investors are confident when market forces are in control, and lack confidence otherwise. Environmental regulations, in particular, are singled out for ridicule in the financial pages. Such "sentimental" restrictions on corporate operations slow down economic growth unnecessarily, reads the typical assessment. Sound political "leadership" should not be swayed by such uninformed populist sentiments, reads a frequent admonition to the political establishment. In summary, our modern societies are about as far away from sustainability as they could possibly be. Our day-to-day economic practices are unsustainable. Our dominant ideology considers this fact to be of only "sentimental" interest. And our societies are organized, somehow, so that this dominant ideology reigns supreme over policy formation. Sustainability & political systems ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ The plain fact is that our modern societal coherence is of a quite different character than that experienced in aboriginal tribes. In the tribal context coherence arose from consensus decision making, and general support for the decisions arose voluntarily out of the consensus process. Our modern coherence is coerced onto the general population by an elite ruling community. The means of coercion are comprehensive and all pervasive: from military force and proxy dictators in the imperial periphery, to carrots, sticks, and propaganda in the imperial core. Once acceptance of capitalist ideology has been coerced, then the rest of the modern scenario follows automatically. In that context, few of us have any choice but to get a job to earn a living, buy a car to get to work, shop and consume in order get something out of the rat race, jet away on holiday in order to escape from the rat race, etcetera ad depletum maximus. I would like to suggest, from the perspective of system dynamics, that the structures of our modern political systems--regardless of their policies at any given time--are essentially incompatible with sustainability. We can see this by considering the functional value of cultural coherence in the aboriginal setting, and asking why that same function is not served by modern cultural coherence. In the aboriginal scenario, the tribe acted with coherence in pursuit of its own overall self-interest. That self-interest was guided by a correct understanding of humanity's place within its environment, but that is not the issue we are concerned with here, at least not directly. From a political systems perspective, the critical observation is that our societies are guided by minority elites, who act in their own private self-interest. Such an elite is in a position to insulate itself from many of the consequences of its actions--and throughout history elites have tended to do exactly that. The feedback loops by which elites judge the sensibility of their actions are linked to the private well being of the elites themselves. As long as enough grain can be confiscated from the peasants to feed the nobility in style--to put it in classical terms--then all is well. If temporary concessions must be made to the peasantry, that is acceptable, in order that the sustainability of elite rule be maintained in the most cost-effective way. But the line is drawn, and the claws come out, whenever elite well being--and most particularly elite control--are threatened For the past few centuries our societies have been admirably coherent, but only if you adopt the perspective of elites. From the perspective of societies as wholes, or of humanity within the context of the biosphere, our societies have not acted at all coherently. Beyond incoherent, beyond nonsensical, they have acted with perverse insanity, with blatant disregard for the obvious consequences of their systematically self-destructive behavior. In psychological terms, one might say that the distressed patient is suffering from a reality disconnect. He is guided by a delusional model of his environment and of the consequences his own behavior. Given the advanced state of self-destruction this particular patient has reached, institutionalization might well be the resulting prescription. From a systems perspective the problem is equally clear. The system--our global society--does not include a feedback mechanism that connects its decision-making apparatus with the surrounding environment. Instead the input feeds are connected internally. Those feeds serve to maintain the equilibrium of a subsystem (the elite community) at the expense of the larger system in which it is embedded. Such an arrangement might seem to be contrary to the enlightened self-interest of the elite community itself. But quite obviously--as we can see reflected in the telltale financial pages--elites do not see things that way. Perhaps the explanation for this can be captured by a humble popular aphorism, "You can't argue with success." Indeed, for the past 10,000 years, ever since agriculture enabled wealth accumulation and elite rule, elites have found ways to maintain their well being trough all manner of changes and challenges. They have even shown considerable creativity and flair in this ongoing pursuit of their own self interest. It is not surprising that today's elites continue in this tradition of elite arrogance regarding the consequences of their actions on their surroundings. More than ever they have the ability to micro-manage events to their own benefit, and more than ever they have the means at their disposal to maintain their control over societies globally. From such a cultural perspective global warming is not a disaster, but rather something from which profits can be made. Agricultural land, which is currently only marginally productive, can be purchased cheaply in anticipation of warmer climates to come. There may be a wait, but deep pockets can afford to wait. In the case of massive water shortages, which are inevitable given industrial agricultural practices, elites are already well along in their plans to reap immense profits. Privatization of water sources worldwide is creating a situation where multinational water monopolies are increasingly able to monopolize the Earth's water resources for maximal economic exploitation. What this comes down to is the production of high-profit agricultural products for Western consumers, leaving entire third-world populations to die of thirst, or what is euphemistically called "drought", implying that "natural causes" are to blame. From the perspective of our elite rulers, massive die-offs in the third world are of no consequence. That's simply the inevitable price of progress, as were the earlier genocides of native populations in North America and Australia. "There's not enough for everyone", and "I aim to get mine one way or another" have been central tenets in the worldview of elites since at least the time of Malthus. Political requirements of a sustainable society ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Permit me to lead with some conclusions... A sustainable society must act coherently (sensibly) with respect to the overall self-interest of the members of that society. The policy-making apparatus of such a society--its political structure--must include feedback loops that connect policy-making accurately and reliably with the whole-system-consequences of the policies that are adopted. I believe that these conclusions follow rather directly from the preceding observations. But lest I leap precariously, permit me to connect the dots explicitly. Certainly coherence of some kind is required, and I hope that was established early on. Without sensibility relative to some set of objectives, we are faced with randomly incoherent behavior by the overall society. Such is certainly not sustainable. There are several ways of understanding why the overall self-interest of all members of society must be of central concern to a sustainable society. One way to look at this is from the perspective of system stability. As we saw by examining elite rule, a feedback loop that considers only the interests of a portion of society insulates policy-making from the whole system consequences of those policies. The stability of such a system cannot be assured in the long term; it is not acting coherently as an overall system. Such a society is not reliably sustainable. Another way to look at this question of overall self-interest is from the perspective of understanding and respect--understanding of society's place within the world system, and respect for the integrity of that larger system. If a society does not even have respect for the welfare of some of its own members, it is unlikely to have adequate respect for its environment. In Daniel Quinn's terms, a taker society is characterized fundamentally by an exploitive worldview. There seems to be a dichotomy, a choice that must be made deep within the foundation of a society's value system. The choice is between collaboration and mutual respect on the one hand, and narrow self-interest and exploitation on the other hand. A society that discounts the interests of part of itself has clearly chosen the exploitive side of this great divide. As to the necessity of feedback loops, which accurately report whole system consequences of policy, I don't think there are any dots left over for me to connect. The inherent instability of systems that lack such feedback loops has been observed several times already. Characterizing the nature of a sustainable society ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Our considerations have led us, at least in my view, to the identification of a considerable number of requirements that a society must possess before it can be reliably sustainable. Let us restate these requirements as qualities of a hypothetical sustainable society. Then let us see if we can uncover further refinements of those qualities, and perhaps begin to form a sense of how a sustainable society would operate. * A sustainable society understands that it is part of larger systems, and it respects the integrity of those systems--as an aspect of its own perceived self interest * A sustainable society is culturally stable, as otherwise it would not be stable generally, and therefore would not be reliably sustainable. * A sustainable society possesses cultural coherence--its interactions with the outside make sense in terms of its own values and perceived interests. * This cultural coherence is based on feedback loops which link policy making to the whole-system consequences of adopted policies. The actions of a sustainable society make sense in terms of their whole-system consequences. * This whole system includes all members of a sustainable society, and the policy-making mechanisms of the society--its politics--incorporate in a balanced way the interests of all members. Those are the qualities that have been explicitly identified so far. Let's explore what other qualities are inherent within these. Consider for example this question: What is the smallest unit of society that can be considered reliably sustainable? If you said "the self-sufficient village", you would have been wrong. Also wrong are the Greek city-state, the modern nation, and everything in between. Both theory and empirical experience clearly demonstrate that sustainability can only be achieved if it is achieved globally. Taking the empirical first, let us consider all those societies which managed to retain some degree of sustainability into modern times, some even doing so to this very day, perhaps deep in some rainforest, or in some remote Indian village. The days of such societies are numbered, as were the days of all those countless societies that succumbed to civilization before them. Ever since exploitive agriculture, the taker mentality, and hierarchical forms began to take hold some 10 centuries ago, apparent local sustainability has been but a temporary illusion. Theoretically there is little to be said. A system is sustainable only if it is reliably sustainable as a whole system, and only if every component is also reliably sustainable. One taker society anywhere denies the sustainability of the whole global system, and all of its parts. Let me now take a bit of a leap and attribute some possibly non-obvious qualities to the politics of sustainable societies: * The politics of a sustainable society are decentralized. * Local policies are formed by means of an inclusive consensus process, in which all voices are heard and respected. * Policies involving coordination on larger scale issues are determined by consensus-based councils, made up of delegates from localities that have already reached consensus on the issues at hand. On the one hand, we can argue these points on the basis of necessity. The argument would go something like this... of all the ways that people have found to make collective decisions, only certain kinds of consensus processes have demonstrated a reliable ability to effectively incorporate the concerns and interests of everyone affected by a given decision. Every other approach, history clearly shows, leads to divisiveness, competition among factions, and the submergence of minority interests at all levels. From another perspective, we can argue the naturalness of the suggested political mechanisms, within the context of a society that possesses the qualities we have previously attributed to sustainable societies. Understanding that one is part of larger systems--and respecting the integrity of those systems--implies a culture that is fundamentally collaborative in its approach to the world. A culture is implied which has at a deep level rejected the win-lose, exploitive, taker mentality. A member of such a culture, interacting with other members, could be expected to employ the familiar collaborative approach in working out problems that call for a decision-of-the-whole. Collaborative problem solving, it turns out, is precisely what consensus processes enable. Achieving a collaborative space is what consensus is all about. In a collaboration-oriented culture, nothing could be more natural than consensus. There are dots that remain unconnected here, and in the interests of time I'll leave those as an exercise for the reader. We have yet to bring in the topic of development, even though it receives equal billing with sustainability in the title of this article. Sustainability and developmet ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Let's begin by making some distinctions. There are of course forms of "development" which are entirely consistent with sustainability. Consider for example the development of an energy-efficient transport system that consumes only renewable resources, and only at a sustainable rate. Or consider an effective program of community development, enabling communities to achieve local (if temporary) sustainability. Such examples fall within the generally accepted definition of "development". And yet in another sense "development", as a major topic in this era of globalization, implies activities which are anything but sustainable. Exploitive development is the surging river; developments toward sustainability can be no more than petulant eddy currents, ephemeral insults to the might of the river. I suggest that the term "development", in the context of this article should be understood as the kind of development that is dominant today--development whose sole objective is to accelerate economic growth, within the constraints imposed by market forces. Understood in this way, we can readily see that development is in every sense the very antithesis of sustainability. Development relentlessly erodes cultural stability; it prevents coherent activity by the society-as-a-whole from every perspective except that of the ruling elite; it effectively aligns society with an inverted understanding of humanity's place in the world. Furthermore, each development project serves to increase the rate of resource exploitation, thus directly moving us ever further from any semblance of sustainability. Perhaps the most direct way to say it is this: As long as development is going on anywhere in the world, sustainability is denied to all. _________________________________________________________ Background references ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Regarding aboriginal societies Maria Sandoz, Crazy Horse: Strange Man of the Oglalas, 50th Anniversary Edition, University of Nebraska Press, 1992. Peter Farb, Man's Rise to Civilization [stet], EP Dutton, New York, 1968. Jared Diamond, Guns, Germs, and Steel, W.W. Norton, London, 1997. Daniel Quinn, The Story of B, Bantam Books, London, 1996. Regarding sustainability and systems Hartmut Bossel, Earth at a Crossroads, Paths to a Sustainable Future, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1998. Leopold Kohr, The Breakdown of Nations, New European Publications, London, 2001. Jerry Mander and Edward Goldsmith, eds., The Case Against the Global Economy and for a Turn Toward The Local, Sierra Club Books, San Francisco, 1996. Frances Moore Lappé, Joseph Collins, Peter Rosset, World Hunger, Twelve Myths, Grove Press, New York, 1986. Regarding globalization and elites Michel Chossudovsky, The Globalization of Poverty -- Impacts of IMF and World Bank Reforms, The Third World Network, Penang, Malaysia, 1997. Holly Sklar ed., Trilateralism -- the Trilateral Commission and Elite Planning for World Management, South End Press, Boston, 1980. Regarding visions from changed minds David C. Korten, The Post-Corporate World-- Life After Capitalism, Kumerian Press, West Hartford, Connecticut, 1999. Jim Rough, Society's Breakthrough!: Releasing Essential Wisdom and Virtue in All the People, 1stPublishing, Bloomington, Indiana, 2002. Nasrudin O'Shah, The Zen of Global Transformation, Quay Largo Productions, Wexford Ireland, 2002. 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